Newmarket Friday 11th July - Betting Tips

Bet365 Handicap - URBAN GLIMPSE

URBAN GLIMPSE ran well in both starts this season, has ran into two very nice types such as SING US A SONG that was snapped up by Wathnan and ran at Royal Ascot. On URBAN GLIMPSE last run, it was 2nd to DANTES LAD who went on to win and now has a rating of 94 which would put it as top rated in this race. That makes URBAN GLIMPSE mark of 86 look low for him.

URBAN GLIMPSE best runs have come in races with better ground and so this should suit a lot better, as its a handicap it will be one of those carrying the less than everyone except long odds Cayman Dancer. The main danger would be KINGS CHARTER who is a a very unexposed improving type who will like the ground and distance but hope that it needs to improve further to be on par with URBAN GLIMPSE who will hopefully get the run of the race.

Bet365 Trophy - CHAMPAGNE PRINCE

CHAMPAGNE PRINCE ran a very good race at Royal Ascot in the Copper Horse Stakes when losing a shoe after riding prominent and still staying on for 6th. A little step up in trip here should help and off the same it went to Ascot with so should be competitive again.

The son of Lope De Vega has mainly ran on all weather and has ran over hard ground before and when getting 6th at Ascot it was after a long 115 day break and was easily its best turf run to date. Can take some confidence from that and improve further here and at around 10/1 it looks a good e/w chance. Dam of MAIDS UP gives confidence that it will stay this trip rather well. Godolphin's runner a big danger which is mainly the story of the Newmarket July meeting.

Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes - CINDERELLAS DREAM

Was unlucky last out when returning to 1m and so will hopefully be fitter and more suited to the trip today as she is very distance versatile . She is joint top rated in the race but did lose to CRIMSON ADVOCATE last out, however, its better off in the weights here and again should be sharper than last time. I also think the track is more likely to suit here and is a big player.

JANURAY is the big danger here as she gets 9lb less as she is a 3yr old. However, in my opinion its hard to see what she actually beaten as she is an improving type but lost to CERCENE last out and ATSILA had beaten her in her penultimate start. ATSILA was also in front of JANUARY in the Irish 1000 Guineas so the form isn't absolutely amazing for a 2/1 or shorter shot. JANUARY was also just behind DESERT FLOWER in the Betfred May Hill stakes but there was no major competition in the rest of that race.

For all these reasons and the run of the race as I see it and also the odds, I'm siding with CINDERELLAS DREAM. There has been significant movement in the market for JANUARY all week but her last run was only 3 weeks ago so I can't see bags of improvement. Taking into account the odds it makes more sense to back the consistent performer CINDERELLAS DREAM. I believe that if JANUARY wins it'll be down to the weight differences and if there are issues in running. ELWATEEN should also be better than last out when it clearly didn't stay the trip.

MAIN PICK: CINDERELLAS DREAM

BIG DANGER: JANUARY

BIG IMPROVER: ELWATEEN